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Thread: The Draft Lottery - 2017

  1. #1
    All Star Tidal22's Avatar
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    The Draft Lottery - 2017

    A lot of people have been saying this draft sucks, but this is why it's imperative, at this point, we hope the team continues to go into the crapper.....

    People have forgotten the draft lottery is different in 2017 than it had been previously and this is how.....

    - The top 3 teams, will be lottery selected
    - Vegas will get no lower than the 6th overall pick

    So as of 3/19/17:

    COL 17.9% at 1st - 48% chance at top 3
    ARI 12.1% at 1st - 35.3% chance at top 3
    VEG 10.3% at 1st - 30.7% chance at top 3
    NJ 10.3% at 1st - 30.7% chance at top 3
    VAN 8.5% at 1st - 26.0% chance at top 3
    DAL 7.6% at 1st - 23.5% chance at top 3
    DET 6.7% at 1st - 20.9% chance at top 3
    WPG 5.8% at 1st - 18.3% chance at top 3
    BUF 5.4% at 1st - 17.1% chance at top 3
    PHI 4.5% at 1st - 14.4% chance at top 3

    As teams get pulled for a top 3 pick, it will change those odds. In the recent past, this isn't how the lottery has been handled, so if you were where the Flyers were and you didn't get 1st, you didn't have any chance of getting the 2nd or 3rd overall picks. Essentially, if this team continues to drop and you end up where say, Detroit is, which is a stretch, but not impossible, you're talking about a 20.9% chance at a top 3 pick, with, most likely the 7th overall pick.

    Everyone continues to say this draft is average to poor, but frankly, if I'm going to have to pick the best of an average lot, I want to pick first, not 10th, 15th or whatever. There are good players to be had in this draft, regardless of what anyone has heard.
    Much like Ron Hextall, I will not mortgage my future posts on rental posts.

  2. #2
    All Star EagleOCNJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tidal22 View Post
    A lot of people have been saying this draft sucks, but this is why it's imperative, at this point, we hope the team continues to go into the crapper.....

    People have forgotten the draft lottery is different in 2017 than it had been previously and this is how.....

    - The top 3 teams, will be lottery selected
    - Vegas will get no lower than the 6th overall pick

    So as of 3/19/17:

    COL 17.9% at 1st - 48% chance at top 3
    ARI 12.1% at 1st - 35.3% chance at top 3
    VEG 10.3% at 1st - 30.7% chance at top 3
    NJ 10.3% at 1st - 30.7% chance at top 3
    VAN 8.5% at 1st - 26.0% chance at top 3
    DAL 7.6% at 1st - 23.5% chance at top 3
    DET 6.7% at 1st - 20.9% chance at top 3
    WPG 5.8% at 1st - 18.3% chance at top 3
    BUF 5.4% at 1st - 17.1% chance at top 3
    PHI 4.5% at 1st - 14.4% chance at top 3

    As teams get pulled for a top 3 pick, it will change those odds. In the recent past, this isn't how the lottery has been handled, so if you were where the Flyers were and you didn't get 1st, you didn't have any chance of getting the 2nd or 3rd overall picks. Essentially, if this team continues to drop and you end up where say, Detroit is, which is a stretch, but not impossible, you're talking about a 20.9% chance at a top 3 pick, with, most likely the 7th overall pick.

    Everyone continues to say this draft is average to poor, but frankly, if I'm going to have to pick the best of an average lot, I want to pick first, not 10th, 15th or whatever. There are good players to be had in this draft, regardless of what anyone has heard.
    Tidal, great posting lately. Thanks

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by EagleOCNJ View Post
    Tidal, great posting lately. Thanks
    it's good that someone on here can talk hockey that doesn't involve advanced stats or copied HF bullshit.

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  5. #5
    That was meant for Cheney in the other thread....sorry.

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Orange&Black View Post
    That was meant for Cheney in the other thread....sorry.
    Give it time. It will eventually fit perfectly here as well.

  7. #7
    Bow Down to the Timeout abstract's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orange&Black View Post
    That was meant for Cheney in the other thread....sorry.
    No, it was deserved. st was trolling tidal.
    Quote Originally Posted by NoSlackDelta View Post
    You know how you can tell you've fucked up and sound like an idiot, when you've got people like Nora and I in complete agreement with each other on an issue.

  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by abstract View Post
    No, it was deserved. st was trolling tidal.
    People st trolls tend to disappear. So, you know...watch your back Tidal.

  9. #9
    Waive Shelley Fuzz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlyerFanatic View Post
    People st trolls tend to disappear. So, you know...watch your back Tidal.
    ^^^THIS

  10. #10
    Waive Nodl and Shelley BluehenJK's Avatar
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    Thanks for posting.

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